NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks
With the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend in Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their last opportunity to make a little additional cash for another 3 weeks. Not only is that the race convinced to become an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This means, NASCAR fans have the pleasure of two distinct major gambling opportunities to make the most of.
While Vegas has introduced their odds for every single driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami, I have compiled information that shows slightly different results. By opting to ignore past year’s performances at this track and rather focus on season finish averages according to 1.5 mile track performances, I have produced a listing of drivers which are most likely to acquire this weekend. This listing also allows us to evaluate each driver’s gaming yield based on their Vegas odds.
Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —
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