Logano, Keselowski Share Best Odds to Win Coke Zero Sugar 400
Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night at the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory last week and he has +1800 odds to repeat, however, it’s Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with odds of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski since the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick at +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last ten races at Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There has not been a repeat winner at this track since Jimmie Johnson did so in the two races at 2013. Denny Hamlin looks to become the most recent driver to do it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Only once over the last 17 races at Daytona has the winner started on the pole and that was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting position for the driver who carried the checkered flag during the interval was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series career last week in Chicagoland and has had great qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He has begun first or second in each of the last three runnings at this course, but has finished 10th or worse, so until he will find the exact same speed from the race, I will stay away.
Logano (+700) has had better success during the Daytona 500 than he’s at the midseason race at this track. In the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, for example winning in 2015, but he’s an average finish position of 21.2 in the July race and has dropped in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a series of bad luck at Daytona lately, with crashed in four of the past five races there, but six races ago at this course, he drove to victory lane. He’s five wins at Talladega, another restrictor-plate monitor, so that he knows the way to compete in these races. Start looking for him to be at the hunt Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) less a favorite sounds like an automatic bet, but Daytona has become the better of him most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s only three top-five finishes there on the last 14 races, but he was the most runner-up in this season’s Daytona 500.
I have been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he had not shown evidence of his former dominant self before last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has dropped in four of the five races in Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps at three of those runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this could be a good place for Harvick.
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