LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come into this Saturdays game with announcement successes.
LSU beat the Longhorns per week 2 and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a spot in the race to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 for 27 with three INTs, into creating bad decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the best launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. That contains the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
With Death Valley awaitings roar , the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this near? Or will Burrow as well as the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and win the bet? Here is the full breakdown.
Theres hardly any uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the best receiving teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the toughest DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU opponents: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all Burrows standard. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far at the other corner spot, but nonetheless has a large ceiling for a cover guy.
Burrow will face a menacing pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami on the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While his awareness have to improve he has to get flustered with an opposing line. Auburns ranks 11th in line yards, and is the finest in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is 85th in bag rate. They will rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee.
With the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to develop big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the other side of him will likely soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who permitted the smallest sum of downs last year. It will be given an opportunity against a driven Trask Although this group is now in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game this year going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his approach last weekend. Despite this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut out the Kentucky match.
It places a lot of stress on Trask in a hostile atmosphere When they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned admiration following week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this game staying than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt going to install 45 or anything close to that. Their pass-rush has fully evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the team has relied on them far too much to alter the wave in games the Gators defense will wear out with time. Marco Wilson will be the subject against Jefferson or the physiological Chase to some late-game PIs.
But I dont anticipate this. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the suitable wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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