Betting Baseball

The Money Line

Regardless of what sport you’re gambling, the sports publications need equal cash on both sides of this fence. They would love to sit back and gather their vig (percent on winning wagers — usually 10%) and not need to be concerned about the outcome of the game. They must assign chances, to achieve this in baseball. By Way of Example, that the Indians are playing at the White Sox and Jake Westbrook is pitching against Freddy Garcia. The lineup is Chicago -150 and Cleveland +135. Should you bet Cleveland and they win, you’ll get $13.50 back for every $10.00 which you wagered. If nevertheless you enjoy Chicago, you may need to gamble $15.00 in order to win $10.00 or $150.00 to win $100.00.
1 aspect to consider is it is hard to handicap a bull pen. However great the starting pitcher is, they usually only last until the 6th or 7th inning and it is up to the aid pitchers to finish the job. Because of this, many experts will tell you a money line greater than -160 is generally best to stay away from. If you wager on a -300 favorite and they lose, you have to win three games just to get back to even. There are 162 games in the regular season and even the best teams will lose 60 games (38%).
The Run Line
If you like a team that is a heavy favorite but don’t want to risk the cash, then it’s possible to locate value in conduct lines and lessen the first wager amount. Run lines add or take away 1 1/2 runs depending on how you gamble — similar to stage spreads in different sports. There continue to be odds involved but the run lines will lessen the odds and make a wager less expensive. Most run line wagers have been placed on the favorite. By way of example, Houston is playing with Florida and Pettitte is pitching against Mitre. The cash line on Houston is -230 (you must wager $23.00 to acquire $10.00). The risk/reward appears too high to take a chance so you may choose to examine the run line. Houston -1 1/2 reduces the chances to -115 meaning today you merely need to wager $11.50 to win $10.00, however in order to win the wager Houston should win the game by two runs or more.
Since many baseball games are decided by one run, many experts will tell you that streak lines are poor bets. Another aspect to consider is that if you are wagering on the house team and they are up with a run in the 9th inning, they won’t bat in the bottom half of the inning giving you one less inning to pay that spread further reducing your odds of winning the bet. If you choose the underdog on a run bet, you would get 1 1/2 runs and could still win your bet even when your team loses with a jog, nevertheless you are paying for this cushion and in many cases it is tough to find value in these wagers.
The Total
Betting on the score in a baseball game is the same as every other sport. There are chances assigned here as well, however they usually range from money to -120 & rarely proceed greater than that. This is a great way for novices to bet on baseball especially if you have some idea of how a game may play out. Whenever there are two good pitchers going head to head, the total will be lower (usually between 7 and 8 1/2 runs) and conversely if there are just two pitchers who tend to give up more runs, then the total can grow to as high as 11 or 12 runs. One aspect to think about is where the sport has been played. There are certain parks which are”hitter friendly” along with other parks that are”pitcher friendly”.
Some hitter friendly parks comprise Coors Field in Colorado, Ameriquest Field in Texas, Minute Maid Park in Houston, Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Chase Field in Arizona, Rogers Centre in Toronto, US Cellular Field in Chicago (White Sox), Fenway Park in Boston, and Camden Yards in Baltimore.
Some pitcher friendly parks include Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, Safeco Field in Seattle, Comerica Park in Detroit, Shea Stadium in New York (Mets), Petco Park in San Diego, RFK Stadium in Washington DC, Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Jacobs Field in Cleveland, and Dolphins Stadium at Florida.
One more factor to take into account in the event that you truly want to analyze a game is that the weather. Hot humid weather will favor a knuckle ball pitcher and obviously strong winds blowing to the outfield will favor the batter. The most important thing is look for value and do not be afraid to wager an underdog. With all the variables involved, baseball is one of the toughest sports to bet on. But if you understand the facts & try to find value, it can also be one of the most rewarding.

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