Betting Baseball

The Money Line

Regardless of what game you’re gambling, the sports publications need equal money on both sides of the fence. They’d like to sit back and gather their vig (percentage on winning wagers — generally 10%) and not need to worry about the results of the game. To achieve this in baseball, they need to assign chances. By Way of Example, that the Indians are playing in the White Sox and Jake Westbrook is pitching against Freddy Garcia. The lineup is Cleveland +135 and Chicago -150. Should you gamble Cleveland and they win, you would get $13.50 back for each $10.00 that you wagered. If nevertheless you enjoy Chicago, you may need to gamble $15.00 so as to win $10.00 or $150.00 to win $100.00.
One thing to consider is that it is difficult to handicap a bull pen. However great the starting pitcher is, they generally only last until the 6th or 7th inning and it’s up to the relief pitchers to complete the job. Because of this, many experts will tell you a cash line greater than -160 is generally best to stay away from. If you bet on a -300 favorite and they lose, you must win three games simply to get back to even. There are 162 games in the regular season as well as the top teams will shed 60 games (38 percent ).
The Run Line
If you like a group that’s a heavy favorite but don’t need to risk that the cash, then it is possible to find value in run lines and lessen the initial wager amount. Run lines take away 1 1/2 runs depending on which way you gamble — similar to point spreads in different sports. There continue to be chances involved however, the run lines will lessen the chances and make a wager more affordable. Most run line wagers are placed on the favorite. For instance, Houston is playing with Florida and Pettitte is pitching against Mitre. The money line on Houston is -230 (you have to wager $23.00 to win $10.00). The risk/reward seems too high to have an opportunity so you may want to examine the run line. Houston -1 1/2 reduces the odds to -115 meaning today you only need to wager $11.50 to win $10.00, however in order to win the bet Houston must win the game by two runs or more.
Since many baseball games have been decided by one run, many experts will tell you that run lines are bad bets. Another thing to consider is that if you are wagering on the house team and they’re up by a run in the 9th inning, they won’t bat in the bottom half of the inning giving you one less inning to cover that spread farther reducing your odds of winning the bet. Should you choose the underdog on a streak bet, you would get 1 1/2 runs and could still win your bet even if your team loses by a jog, however you’re paying for this cushion and oftentimes it is hard to find value in these wagers.
The Total
Betting on the score at a baseball game will be just like every other game. There are chances assigned here as well, however they usually vary from money to -120 & seldom go greater than that. This is a great way for novices to bet on baseball particularly in the event that you have some idea of how a game might play out. Whenever there are two good pitchers going head to head, the total will probably be reduced (usually between 8 and 7 1/2 runs) and conversely if you will find two pitchers who tend to give up more runs, then the total can increase to as large as 11 or 12 runs. One thing to think about is where the game has been played. There are certain parks which are”hitter friendly” along with other parks which are”pitcher favorable”.
Some hitter friendly parks comprise Coors Field in Colorado, Ameriquest Field in Texas, Minute Maid Park in Houston, Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Chase Field in Arizona, Rogers Centre in Toronto, US Cellular Field in Chicago (White Sox), Fenway Park in Boston, and Camden Yards in Baltimore.
Some pitcher friendly parks include Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, Safeco Field in Seattle, Comerica Park in Detroit, Shea Stadium in New York (Mets), Petco Park in San Diego, RFK Stadium in Washington DC, Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Jacobs Field in Cleveland, along with Dolphins Stadium in Florida.
One more factor to consider if you truly need to analyze a game is the weather. Hot humid weather will prefer a knuckle ball pitcher and clearly strong winds blowing to the outfield will prefer the batter. The most important thing is look for worth and do not be afraid to bet an underdog. With each of the variables included, baseball is among the most difficult sports to bet on. However, if you know the facts & try to find value, it can also be one of the most profitable.

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